Match Analysis: Ashdod vs Hapoel Katamon
← Back to fixturesMatchday Relegation Group - 30Wednesday, 13 May 2026 at 17:00Yud-Alef Stadium
Form — last 5
DLLLW
Form — last 5
WLWWL
Current group table
Group Premier League , Relegation Round standings
| # | Team | P | Form | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maccabi Netanya | 33 | LWLDW | -4 | 48 |
| 2 |  Ironi Tiberias | 33 | DWWWW | -11 | 44 |
| 3 |  Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 33 | WWDWL | -3 | 40 |
| 4 |  Hapoel Haifa | 33 | DLWDW | -12 | 34 |
| 5 |  Bnei Sakhnin | 33 | DLLLL | -21 | 34 |
| 6 |  Hapoel Katamon | 33 | WLWWL | -17 | 31 |
| 7 |  Ashdod | 33 | DLLLW | -24 | 28 |
| 8 |  Maccabi Bnei Raina | 33 | LWDLL | -43 | 22 |
Injuries & suspensions
Team news
No injuries or suspensions reported for this fixture.
Timeline — goals, cards & substitutions
Match events
- I. DiakiteYellow9'
- O. N. AzoYellow13'
- 33'N. VrasanaYellow
- 43'⚽M. Hozez (assist: Y. A. Distelfeld)
- O. N. Azo OFF, E. Gethon ON46'
- 46'N. Vrasana OFF, O. Almagor ON
- 57'I. Dappa OFF, M. Rakonjac ON
- V. Ochayi OFF, S. Harush ON61'
- A. Cohen OFF, M. Amer ON61'
- S. HarushYellow68'
- N. Muche OFF, I. Tamam ON70'
- 72'G. Badash OFF, D. Domgjoni ON
- A. Mendy OFF, I. Hajaj ON84'
- 88'M. Hozez OFF, I. Ransom ON
AI prediction report
Analyst verdict
AI Prediction Report
Generated —
Predicted result
Draw1-1
ModelMOA 28%·D 35%·37% HAP
Model confidence44%
Key factors
- Hapoel Katamon hold a clear head-to-head advantage, winning 3 of the last 5 meetings including two at Yud-Alef Stadium
- Ashdod's poor recent form (3 losses in last 5, conceding 1.6 goals per game) undermines their home advantage significantly
- Hapoel Katamon's defensive solidity stands out — just 0.6 goals conceded per game in last 5, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
- Both teams have drawn twice at Yud-Alef Stadium in recent H2H, reflecting a recurring pattern of close, contested matches in this fixture
- Ashdod's low scoring average (0.8 per game) limits their ability to win home games, though they did manage a 2-0 win at this venue in December 2023
Analyst reasoning
Hapoel Katamon's superior head-to-head record at this venue and their stronger defensive metrics make them the marginal favorites despite Ashdod's home advantage. However, the H2H history shows multiple draws here and both teams operate at low scoring rates, making a tight 1-1 draw a plausible and well-supported outcome. Ashdod's recent poor run of form is the deciding factor shifting probability slightly toward the away side or a share of points rather than a home win.