Match Analysis: Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
← Back to fixturesMatchday Championship Group - 33Tuesday, 12 May 2026 at 17:30Teddy Stadium
Form — last 5
LDWDD
Form — last 5
WDWWL
Current group table
Group Premier League , Championship Round standings
| # | Team | P | Form | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 36 | WDWWL | +41 | 79 |
| 2 |  Beitar Jerusalem | 36 | LDWDD | +38 | 76 |
| 3 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv | 35 | DWLLD | +26 | 63 |
| 4 |  Hapoel Tel Aviv | 35 | DWLLD | +20 | 62 |
| 5 |  Maccabi Haifa | 36 | WLDWW | +19 | 55 |
| 6 |  Hapoel Petah Tikva | 36 | LLDDD | -9 | 40 |
Injuries & suspensions
Team news
No injuries or suspensions reported for this fixture.
Timeline — goals, cards & substitutions
Match events
- 4'H. Lopes OFF, M. Baltaxa ON
- N. Antwi OFF, R. Elimelech ON23'
- 28'M. BaltaxaYellow
- L. Yarin OFF, T. Muzie ON60'
- 63'M. Abu Rumi OFF, J. East ON
- ⚽Y. Shua (assist: T. Muzie)77'
- 78'E. Peretz OFF, S. Elias ON
- 79'D. T. Diop OFF, Miguel Vitor ON
- 79'A. C. Ganah OFF, R. Levy ON
- 81'⚽K. Kangwa
- Y. CohenYellow86'
- Y. Shua OFF, E. Gonzalez ON90+4'
AI prediction report
Analyst verdict
AI Prediction Report
Generated —
Predicted result
Hapoel Beer Sheva1-2
ModelBEI 18%·D 25%·57% HAP
Model confidence65%
Key factors
- Beitar Jerusalem have not beaten Hapoel Beer Sheva in any of the last 19 recorded meetings — a striking long-term pattern suggesting a genuine psychological or stylistic mismatch that transcends squad turnover
- Hapoel Beer Sheva's current form (WDWWL) and attacking output (avg 2.6 goals scored per game) far outpaces Beitar's tepid scoring rate of 0.8 goals per game in recent fixtures
- Beitar Jerusalem's defensive record over the last 5 matches (avg 1.2 conceded) is worrying at home, and Beer Sheva have scored in every recent H2H meeting
- Recent H2H at Teddy Stadium specifically: 0-1 (Nov 2025), 0-2 (May 2025), 1-1 (Mar 2025) — Beitar struggle even on home turf against this opponent
- Mild, calm weather conditions (26°C, no wind, no rain) suit flowing football, which should benefit the technically sharper and in-form Beer Sheva side
Analyst reasoning
Every major analytical lens points toward Hapoel Beer Sheva: dominant H2H record spanning 19 matches without a Beitar win, significantly superior current form and goalscoring output, and a track record of success even at Teddy Stadium. While home advantage and the possibility of a late-season motivational factor for Beitar cannot be entirely dismissed, Beer Sheva's momentum and historical stranglehold make them clear favourites. A narrow away win is the most likely outcome, consistent with the pattern of tight but Beer Sheva-favoured results in recent meetings at this venue.