Match Analysis: Ashdod vs Ironi Tiberias
← Back to fixturesMatchday Relegation Group - 32Sunday, 03 May 2026 at 17:00Yud-Alef Stadium
Form — last 5
DLLLW
Form — last 5
DWWWW
Current group table
Group Premier League , Relegation Round standings
| # | Team | P | Form | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maccabi Netanya | 33 | LWLDW | -4 | 48 |
| 2 |  Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 33 | WWDWL | -3 | 40 |
| 3 |  Ironi Tiberias | 33 | DWWWW | -11 | 36 |
| 4 |  Hapoel Haifa | 33 | DLWDW | -12 | 34 |
| 5 |  Bnei Sakhnin | 33 | DLLLL | -21 | 34 |
| 6 |  Hapoel Katamon | 33 | WLWWL | -17 | 31 |
| 7 |  Ashdod | 33 | DLLLW | -24 | 28 |
| 8 |  Maccabi Bnei Raina | 33 | LWDLL | -43 | 22 |
Injuries & suspensions
Team news
No injuries or suspensions reported for this fixture.
AI prediction report
Analyst verdict
AI Prediction Report
Generated —
Predicted result
Ironi Tiberias1-2
ModelMOA 22%·D 26%·52% IRO
Model confidence58%
Key factors
- Ironi Tiberias are in exceptional form with 4 wins from last 5, averaging 2.2 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded — a stark contrast to Ashdod's struggles
- Ashdod's poor recent form (DLLLW) with an average of just 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded highlights a team lacking both offensive potency and defensive solidity
- Head-to-head record is closely contested over six meetings, with Ashdod's most recent win coming in April 2025, suggesting neither side has a dominant long-term psychological edge
- Home advantage at Yud-Alef Stadium is a partial mitigating factor for Ashdod — they have won there in this fixture (Nov 2024), but their current form undermines that benefit
- Relegation Group context adds pressure to both sides, but Tiberias's momentum and superior goal difference metrics make them the more dangerous and mentally settled outfit heading in
Analyst reasoning
Ironi Tiberias's dominant recent form — four consecutive wins with strong goal metrics — makes them clear favorites despite the relatively balanced H2H record. Ashdod have shown vulnerability in defense and a lack of attacking output across their last five matches, and while home advantage offers some uplift, it is insufficient to offset the form gap. A narrow Tiberias away win is the most likely outcome, with a draw remaining plausible given the tight rivalry and the pressure of the relegation group context.