Match Analysis: Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Ironi Modi'in
← Back to fixturesMatchday Relegation Round - 6Tuesday, 19 May 2026 at 16:00
Form — last 5
LDLLD
Form — last 5
LWLWL
Current group table
Group National League , Relegation Round standings
| # | Team | P | Form | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 37 | WLDWW | +8 | 51 |
| 2 |  Hapoel Ra'anana | 37 | DWDDW | -2 | 50 |
| 3 |  Hapoel Afula | 37 | DDWLW | -19 | 45 |
| 4 |  Kafr Qasim | 37 | WDDDL | -7 | 41 |
| 5 |  Hapoel Acre | 37 | LLWDD | -8 | 40 |
| 6 |  Ironi Modi'in | 37 | LWLWL | -10 | 40 |
| 7 |  Hapoel Nazareth Illit | 37 | LDLLD | -14 | 37 |
| 8 |  Hapoel Hadera | 37 | WDDDL | -21 | 32 |
Injuries & suspensions
Team news
No injuries or suspensions reported for this fixture.
AI prediction report
Analyst verdict
AI Prediction Report
Generated —
Predicted result
Ironi Modi'in1-2
ModelHAP 28%·D 26%·46% IRO
Model confidence42%
Key factors
- Ironi Modi'in's superior recent scoring average (1.2 goals scored vs 1.8 conceded by Hapoel Nazareth Illit) points to an attacking edge
- Hapoel Nazareth Illit's defensive fragility is a significant concern — conceding 1.8 goals per game in their last 5 matches
- Ironi Modi'in's defensive solidity (only 1.0 goals conceded per game) gives them a meaningful structural advantage
- Hapoel Nazareth Illit won the most recent H2H 3-0, but the small two-game sample limits H2H predictive value; Modi'in won the other fixture 2-1
- Relegation round context means both sides are under pressure, but Modi'in's better defensive record suggests more composure in high-stakes moments
Analyst reasoning
Ironi Modi'in's stronger recent form metrics — better goals scored, better goals conceded — make them the marginal favourites despite Hapoel Nazareth Illit having home advantage. The two-game H2H is split and too small to override the clear goal average differentials. With Hapoel leaking nearly two goals per game, Modi'in's efficient attacking play should be enough to edge a narrow away win in a tense relegation fixture.