Match Analysis: Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Afula
← Back to fixturesMatchday Relegation Round - 4Friday, 08 May 2026 at 13:00Netanya Stadium
Form — last 5
WDDDL
Form — last 5
DDWLW
Current group table
Group National League , Relegation Round standings
| # | Team | P | Form | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 37 | WLDWW | +8 | 51 |
| 2 |  Hapoel Ra'anana | 37 | DWDDW | -2 | 50 |
| 3 |  Hapoel Afula | 37 | DDWLW | -19 | 45 |
| 4 |  Kafr Qasim | 37 | WDDDL | -7 | 41 |
| 5 |  Hapoel Acre | 37 | LLWDD | -8 | 40 |
| 6 |  Ironi Modi'in | 37 | LWLWL | -10 | 40 |
| 7 |  Hapoel Nazareth Illit | 37 | LDLLD | -14 | 37 |
| 8 |  Hapoel Hadera | 37 | WDDDL | -21 | 32 |
Injuries & suspensions
Team news
No injuries or suspensions reported for this fixture.
AI prediction report
Analyst verdict
AI Prediction Report
Generated —
Predicted result
Hapoel Hadera1-0
ModelHAP 42%·D 33%·25% HAP
Model confidence48%
Key factors
- Hapoel Hadera hold a strong head-to-head record against Afula across all available meetings, with no losses recorded
- Hadera won the most recent encounter 1-0 in February 2026, showing continued dominance in this fixture
- Home advantage at Netanya Stadium is a modest but relevant factor, with the October 2025 home meeting ending 1-1
- Hadera's conceding average (2.0 per game) is notably worse than Afula's (1.2), suggesting some vulnerability defensively
- Both teams average identical scoring rates (1.2 goals per game), making this a closely matched contest offensively
Analyst reasoning
Hapoel Hadera's historical dominance over Afula — unbeaten across all five available head-to-head meetings — provides a meaningful edge, and home advantage adds marginal support. However, Hadera's weaker defensive record in recent form (conceding 2.0 per game vs Afula's 1.2) tempers confidence in a comfortable home win. A narrow 1-0 home victory is the most likely single outcome, though a draw remains very plausible given the low-scoring nature of this rivalry.