Match Analysis: Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon
← Back to fixturesMatchday Relegation Group - 32Monday, 04 May 2026 at 17:00Netanya Stadium
Form — last 5
LWLDW
Form — last 5
WLWWL
Current group table
Group Premier League , Relegation Round standings
| # | Team | P | Form | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maccabi Netanya | 33 | LWLDW | -4 | 48 |
| 2 |  Ironi Tiberias | 33 | DWWWW | -11 | 44 |
| 3 |  Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 33 | WWDWL | -3 | 40 |
| 4 |  Hapoel Haifa | 33 | DLWDW | -12 | 34 |
| 5 |  Bnei Sakhnin | 33 | DLLLL | -21 | 34 |
| 6 |  Hapoel Katamon | 33 | WLWWL | -17 | 31 |
| 7 |  Ashdod | 33 | DLLLW | -24 | 28 |
| 8 |  Maccabi Bnei Raina | 33 | LWDLL | -43 | 22 |
Injuries & suspensions
Team news
No injuries or suspensions reported for this fixture.
Timeline — goals, cards & substitutions
Match events
- A. OuattaraRed23'
- ⚽Matheus Davo (assist: Heriberto Tavares)44'
- 46'A. Idoko OFF, M. Rakonjac ON
- 46'R. Sotiriou OFF, M. Hozez ON
- 57'J. OtomewoYellow
- 62'A. Eshata OFF, Y. A. Distelfeld ON
- 62'Y. Laish OFF, N. Vrasana ON
- O. Bilu OFF, W. Cyprien ON66'
- M. Levi OFF, Y. Sade ON66'
- 78'O. Nadir OFF, I. Ransom ON
- B. Zaarura OFF, Pedrinho ON81'
- B. Feldman OFF, D. Kulikov ON82'
- Matheus Davo OFF, D. Atlan ON88'
AI prediction report
Analyst verdict
AI Prediction Report
Generated —
Predicted result
Maccabi Netanya2-1
ModelMAC 52%·D 24%·24% HAP
Model confidence55%
Key factors
- Maccabi Netanya hold a strong head-to-head record, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings including 5 of the last 6 before the most recent draw
- Netanya have home advantage and a dominant home H2H record — winning all four of the listed home fixtures prior to the January 2026 draw
- Maccabi Netanya's significantly higher scoring average (1.8 goals scored per game vs Katamon's 0.6) suggests a clear attacking edge
- Hapoel Katamon's defensive solidity (only 0.6 conceded per game) provides some resistance, but their attacking output is very limited in a potential must-win relegation context
- Netanya's recent form (W in last game, only 1 loss in last 5) is slightly superior to Katamon's (L in last game, 2 losses in last 5), reinforcing home favoritism
Analyst reasoning
Maccabi Netanya are clear favorites based on a combination of dominant head-to-head history at home, notably stronger recent scoring output, and slightly better current form. While Katamon have been defensively tight lately, their lack of attacking firepower (0.6 goals per game) makes it difficult to see them causing an upset on the road. A narrow home win in a mid-to-low scoring match reflects the competitive relegation group context.