Match Analysis: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
← Back to fixturesMatchday Championship Group - 32Saturday, 09 May 2026 at 17:30Bloomfield Stadium
Form — last 5
DWLLD
Form — last 5
DWLLD
Current group table
Group Premier League , Championship Round standings
| # | Team | P | Form | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 36 | WDWWL | +41 | 79 |
| 2 |  Beitar Jerusalem | 36 | LDWDD | +38 | 76 |
| 3 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv | 35 | DWLLD | +26 | 63 |
| 4 |  Hapoel Tel Aviv | 35 | DWLLD | +20 | 62 |
| 5 |  Maccabi Haifa | 36 | WLDWW | +19 | 55 |
| 6 |  Hapoel Petah Tikva | 36 | LLDDD | -9 | 40 |
Injuries & suspensions
Team news
No injuries or suspensions reported for this fixture.
Timeline — goals, cards & substitutions
Match events
- ChicoYellow15'
- 25'⚽D. Peretz (assist: R. Revivo)
- 37'I. ShaharYellow
- 41'T. AsanteYellow
- 46'R. Revivo OFF, S. Jehezkel ON
- 46'I. Shahar OFF, K. Belic ON
- 59'E. Sahiti OFF, K. Andrade ON
- 59'E. Madmon OFF, S. Abu Farhi ON
- A. Kraev OFF, O. Altman ON61'
- D. Leidner OFF, A. Lemkin ON72'
- E. Boateng OFF, M. Buskila ON72'
- S. Turiel OFF, R. Korine ON83'
- R. Alkoukin OFF, D. Dappa ON83'
- ⚽R. Korine (assist: L. Loizou)87'
- 90'R. ShlomoYellow
- 90'R. Shlomo OFF, Heitor ON
AI prediction report
Analyst verdict
AI Prediction Report
Generated —
Predicted result
Maccabi Tel Aviv1-2
ModelHAP 28%·D 22%·50% MAC
Model confidence55%
Key factors
- Maccabi Tel Aviv have a dominant head-to-head record, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings with Hapoel winning only once in that span (January 2026)
- Maccabi's superior scoring average (1.8 goals/game vs Hapoel's 0.8) highlights a significant attacking quality gap in recent form
- Hapoel's defensive vulnerability is a major concern — conceding 1.6 goals per game on average, against a Maccabi side that scores freely
- Both sides share identical form sequences (DWLLD), but Maccabi's goals-for/against profile is considerably stronger offensively
- Ideal weather conditions (21°C, no rain, light wind) favor open, technical play — this suits Maccabi's more potent attack rather than neutralizing their advantage
Analyst reasoning
Despite both clubs sharing the same recent form sequence, Maccabi Tel Aviv carry a clear quality edge reflected in their superior scoring returns and long-term dominance in this derby. Hapoel's low attacking output (0.8 goals/game) and leaky defense make it difficult to back them against a Maccabi side that has won 7 of the last 10 meetings and already defeated Hapoel just three weeks ago. A narrow Maccabi away win is the most probable outcome, consistent with both the historical pattern and the current form metrics.